Trading

What Is the Difference Between VIX, VVIX and Implied Volatility?

People use these three as if they mean the same thing, and they do not. One is a general concept, one is a specific index, and the third measures how much the second one moves. Sorting that out takes about two minutes, and it makes every volatility headline readable.

1. What is implied volatility?

Implied volatility is how much movement the options market is pricing in for something over a given period, expressed as an annualised percentage.

Nobody observes it directly. You work it backwards out of the option price. Everything else in a pricing model is known, so whatever volatility figure makes the model produce the price people are actually paying is the implied volatility.

That makes it a forecast rather than a measurement, and the word doing the work is implied. It is what the price says people expect, not what happened and not what will happen.

2. What is the VIX?

The VIX is a specific, standardised measure of implied volatility for one thing only: the S&P 500 over the next 30 days.

The CBOE builds it from a wide strip of S&P 500 option prices across many strikes, not from any single option. That is what makes it a broad market-wide reading instead of one contract's opinion. Like all implied volatility, it is quoted as an annualised percentage. So implied volatility is the general idea, and the VIX is one particular, very famous instance of it.

3. What is VVIX?

VVIX is the implied volatility of the VIX itself, calculated from options on the VIX.

If the VIX is the market's expectation of how much the S&P 500 will move, VVIX is the market's expectation of how much the VIX will move. It is a second order measure, usually called vol of vol.

So VIX measures uncertainty, and VVIX measures uncertainty about that uncertainty. That sounds absurd for about five seconds, until you remember that people hedge with VIX options and someone has to price them.

4. How do the three relate?

They nest inside each other. Implied volatility is the broad concept, and it applies to options on anything: a single stock, oil, gold, Treasuries. Standardise it to 30 day implied volatility on the S&P 500 and you have the VIX. Apply the same idea to options on the VIX instead and you get VVIX, sitting one level above the VIX.

Nearly all the confusion comes from calling all three volatility. Only the first is a general term. The other two are named indices with precise definitions, and each market has its own: the Nasdaq has one, so do oil, gold and Treasuries.

5. What does a VIX level actually tell me?

VIX is quoted as an annualised percentage, which is useless to anyone thinking about today. Divide it by 16. There are roughly 252 trading days in a year, the square root of 252 is close to 16, and dividing turns the annual figure into a daily one.

So a VIX of 16 implies a typical daily move of about 1% in the S&P 500. At 32 it is about 2%, and at 12 about 0.75%.

It is an approximation, not a rule. But it turns an abstract index level into something you can picture. Volatility is a standard deviation measure, the same statistical idea we use to score how large an economic surprise was.

6. Why does the VIX rise when the market falls?

Falling markets genuinely are more volatile. Selling tends to be faster and more clustered than buying, so expected movement really does increase when prices drop.

Demand for protection also rises exactly when people are worried. That bids up put options, and implied volatility is calculated from option prices, so it rises with them. The two feed each other.

That is where the fear gauge nickname comes from. It is a loose name, though, because the VIX measures expected movement in either direction. What makes it look like a fear measure is how markets and hedgers behave, not the definition.

7. Implied versus realised volatility?

Implied is what the market expects from here, backed out of option prices. Realised is what actually happened, measured from past price moves.

They are often different, and the gap between them tells you something on its own. Implied tends to sit above realised on average, because option sellers want paying for the risk they take on. That persistent gap has a name: the variance risk premium.

When implied runs far above realised, the market is paying up for protection. When realised overtakes implied, something is happening that nobody had priced. The second one is usually the more interesting.

8. Why does implied volatility collapse after an event?

Because the uncertainty it was pricing is gone.

Ahead of a known event, options carry an extra premium for the chance of a large move on a known date. That covers a CPI release, an FOMC decision or a company's earnings. The instant the number is out, the chance becomes a fact and the premium goes, often within seconds.

Traders call it IV crush. It explains a common and painful experience: you get the direction right and still lose money on the option, because the volatility component fell faster than being right helped.

This is the most useful thing in the post, and you do not have to trade options to use it, because the collapse is entirely predictable. The events are scheduled and published in advance on the economic calendar. Elevated implied volatility going into a Wednesday afternoon is not a mystery if you know the Fed is speaking. It is the same scheduled event that empties the order book, which we covered in what happens to the DOM during a news release: two markets pricing the same known moment, each in its own way.

9. What makes VVIX useful?

It tells you about demand for protection on protection.

When VVIX jumps, it usually means people are buying VIX options, mostly calls, to hedge a volatility spike that has not happened yet. That hedging tends to run ahead of the event it is guarding against, so VVIX can move before the VIX does.

It is a niche reading and not something most traders need daily. It earns its place when the VIX is quiet, because quiet can mean real complacency or it can mean a market paying up for insurance underneath, and those two look identical if you only watch the VIX.

10. How do I use this without trading options?

None of this needs an options position.

Position sizing does the most work for most people. A market pricing 2% daily moves needs smaller size and wider stops than one pricing 0.7%.

A level means little on its own. What matters is where it sits within its own recent range. And if implied volatility is elevated with nothing scheduled, something else is being priced, which is worth knowing about.

Treat volatility as context for how you trade, not a signal to trade. It tells you what kind of day the market expects. That is a different question from which way it will go, and a more reliable one.

Where the terminal fits

Helious carries an implied volatility board: the S&P through VIX, the Nasdaq, oil, gold, Treasuries, and vol of vol through VVIX. A level on its own would not tell you much, so each one is shown as a percentile of its own trailing year with a regime word attached, from calm through normal and elevated to stressed. A VIX of 20 means something quite different in a quiet year than a violent one, and a percentile answers that where a raw number cannot. We do the same to economic releases with the surprise z-score, for the same reason: you cannot read a number until you know its normal range. The board sits beside the calendar, the curve and the live news feed, for $39.99 a month with a free tier. The methodology page shows the workings.

Where to go next

Helious shows implied volatility across the S&P, Nasdaq, oil, gold and Treasuries as a percentile of its own trailing year, so you can tell calm from stressed at a glance, with the calendar and the curve on the same screen. $39.99 a month with a free tier. Built by traders, for traders.

This post is general information and not financial advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for everyone, and nothing here is a recommendation to trade them. VIX and VVIX are registered marks of Cboe Global Markets and this post is not affiliated with or endorsed by them.

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